
By the end of World War I, the United States had begun to replace England as the financial center of the world economy because it was the only source of short- and long-term capital. In the 1920s, American industry and agriculture grew rapidly and entered a period of prosperity and expansion. This contrasted with Germany, which, under the terms of the Treaty of Versailles, was forced to return Alsace-Lorraine to France, West Prussia to Poland, and the Upper Silesia mining region to Poland.
Germany also had to give up all its colonies and most of its fleet and furthermore was forced to pay punitive war reparations to the victors, which hindered economic recovery and the hoped-for improvement in the social situation. Paying war reparations and the difficulties of reconstruction and industrial conversion led to an economic crisis that peaked between 1922 and 1923.
By the end of 1923, Germany had begun a strict monetary stabilization program to stop the inflation that had reached unsustainable levels. Substantial international aid arrived to help Germany and other countries, mainly from the United States and its banks, which were attracted by the high interest rates involved. Meanwhile, U.S. traders imposed free movement of goods and capital on their own government and Europe. The world economy recovered and returned to pre-World War I levels in a relatively short time. The economies of France and England grew steadily, and American industry and agriculture exported much of their production to Europe. Beginning in 1925, as Germany's situation also improved, markets became saturated due to overproduction, particularly of agricultural products. Prices began to fall, and protectionism returned with the imposition of cross-tariffs.
Between 1926 and 1928, the U.S. stock market index doubled, attracting capital from large investors and individuals who took on debt to invest in stocks. When interest rates rose, investors were forced to sell their stocks to repay their loans, which had become too costly. In 1929, stock prices plummeted as everyone sold and no one bought. Overproduction, the stock market crash, companies shutting down or drastically reducing production, and the resulting rise in unemployment ushered in the Great Depression, which lasted until 1932.
The American crisis quickly spread to Europe. The collapse of Wall Street brought the steady growth of capital and investment to a halt, causing difficulties for all Western economies, especially Germany, which was also affected by the institutional crisis that overwhelmed the Weimar Republic. Economic and social difficulties, combined with uncertain and confused policies, brought Adolf Hitler's National Socialism to power in Germany.
In 1932, U.S. President Franklin D. Roosevelt introduced a new economic policy based on the ideas of economist John Maynard Keynes. Keynes had strongly criticized the sanctions imposed on Germany. The New Deal called for massive public works projects to increase employment, as well as government control of industrial competition to prevent further crises of overproduction. While the United States sought to rebuild its economy through heavy investment in public works, other countries chose to invest in rearmament and/or territorial expansion in search of new markets during the second half of the 1930s. Inevitably, international conflict increased. Examples include Italy's colonial war in Ethiopia in 1935, the Spanish Civil War from 1936 to 1939, Japan's invasion of Manchuria in 1937, Austria's annexation in 1938, and Germany's invasion of Bohemia and Moravia in 1939. Public investment in rearmament and heavy industry brought these countries' populations to full employment.
The U.S. economy did not return to prewar levels until the outbreak of war. Then, industries began producing war equipment to supply the Lend-Lease Act for the Allies and the massive rearmament that preceded and followed the U.S.'s entry into the war in 1940. The new equilibrium of the American financial system was financed by the issuance of government bonds, which local banks purchased with money collected from savers. Once war production resumed, large corporations no longer needed credit. The big banks survived by acting as intermediaries for the enormous sums of money that flowed from Europe in the form of capital flight to the only financial center truly safe from invasion.
Bibliography:
L'oro in Europa (Gold in Europe) by Marcello de Cecco
The Great Crash, 1929 by J.K. Galbraith.
